Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.125160 0.188390 0.261926 0.351196 0.454438 0.568250 0.701509
2025-11-16 0.033515 0.095526 0.187371 0.316584 0.482049 0.678267 0.921254
2025-11-23 0.007379 0.056925 0.152976 0.304869 0.512793 0.769980 1.098040
2025-11-30 0.000451 0.037710 0.137776 0.312651 0.564120 0.884210 1.300379
2025-12-07 NaN 0.021689 0.118731 0.308668 0.595435 0.970261 1.465932
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009167 0.096089 0.292985 0.606659 1.027988 1.594589
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006828 0.098735 0.319527 0.678070 1.164154 1.821480
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005112 0.101875 0.346510 0.750032 1.301157 2.049715
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002771 0.098839 0.360965 0.802869 1.412524 2.245477
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002594 0.107333 0.397879 0.889898 1.570078 2.500489
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001839 0.110861 0.424811 0.961738 1.707307 2.729789
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000434 0.103227 0.428189 0.996921 1.794727 2.895236
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.079233 0.394759 0.975581 1.807857 2.969669
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.056487 0.356910 0.944112 1.805623 3.023764
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.045934 0.344663 0.952267 1.856963 3.146194
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.043186 0.352902 0.994753 1.956866 3.332720
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.036822 0.348670 1.015145 2.024923 3.476936
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.027697 0.331924 1.012305 2.058846 3.575296
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.031355 0.360245 1.090073 2.209826 3.830288
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.035145 0.388965 1.168609 2.362032 4.087096
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.035221 0.404325 1.223258 2.479657 4.297819
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.041931 0.443474 1.320625 2.659442 4.591850
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.045684 0.471975 1.398957 2.811682 4.849195